Season Record: 7-11

Last week was brutal. No way around that.

It’s time to lock in and be better! And I have got to be honest with you…I absolutely LOVE the board this weekend. I can feel a big weekend coming. So, for all the non haters that are still riding with me, let’s turn this thing around and make some damn money!

LSU vs Vanderbilt

• Spread: Vanderbilt -1.5
• O/U: 49.5
• ML: LSU +105

Betting on the SEC hasn’t been easy this season. It doesn’t get any easier with this one.

LSU is coming off a game where the defense had to carry them to a win against a very mid South Carolina team. The LSU offense just isn’t clicking. It won’t get easier as they are going to have to play another solid defense on the road. When we have seen this LSU team in games against similar teams, they have been dominated up front and I would expect to see the same when they play Vanderbilt.

The defense also won’t have an easy task in front of them as they will have to go up against one of the best offenses in the country led by Diego Pavia. I know that they didn’t look very impressive against Alabama but that was in a tough road environment. On top of that, Vanderbilt is coming off a bye. I like the offense to get it figured out in this one and be able to get their first ranked win of the season.

The Pick: Vanderbilt -1.5

Georgia Tech vs Duke

• Spread: Duke -1.5
• O/U: 61.5
• ML: Georgia Tech -110

This is a game I have been waiting a while to bet.

Duke had a rough start to the season as they had a couple early losses to Illinois and Tulane. Ever since, this team has bounced back and look like they are up for the challenge ahead. The Blue Devils are a top ten passing offense behind the arm of Darien Mensah. While Georgia Tech is statistically a top 50 defense against the pass, they haven’t been truly tested.

The other part of this is that Georgia Tech has not played well on the road this season. They barely escaped Wake Forest with a win and it took some last minute heroics to win at Colorado to start the season. I think their luck is going to run out this time. Give me the Blue Devils.

The Pick: Duke -1.5

Ole Miss vs Georgia

• Spread: Georgia -7.5
• O/U: 54.5
• ML: Ole Miss +240

This is going to be hard game for Ole Miss to win. The biggest weakness of the Rebels defense is stopping the run. They are now going to be going up against one of the better rushing attacks in the country. That said, Ole Miss has had some pretty good success defending the pass and I don’t trust Gunner Stockton to be the guy to change that. I expect Georgia to go for a run heavy approach in this one, which could shorten this game a bit.

While Ole Miss might have a bit of a challenge defensively, the offense is more than capable of keeping the Rebels in this game. This offense is a top 20 offense in both yards and points scored. While Georgia’s defense is solid, I think they are going to have trouble stopping the Ole Miss passing attack.

I don’t think Ole Miss wins this game, but I do think they will keep it within the number.

The Pick: Ole Miss +7.5

Purdue vs Northwestern

• Spread: Northwestern -3.5
• O/U: 47.5
• ML: Purdue +130

This is a game where I am just betting the spot. Northwestern is coming off a game where they were over 20 point dogs to Penn State and found a way to win. Or maybe Penn State just found a way to lose? Regardless, this Northwestern team is going to be riding high coming into this matchup with Purdue. It’s going to be hard for them not to overlook this matchup and it’s really not one they should be overlooking. Purdue has been a bit frisky over the last couple weeks and I expect them to keep that up against a team that is not that far away from them talent wise.

I don’t know if the Boilermakers will win this game. However, I would much rather take the team with the 3.5 point hook than have to lay a number in this one.

The Pick: Purdue +3.5

USC vs Notre Dame

• Spread: Notre Dame -9.5
• O/U: 61.5
• ML: +270

I don’t understand this line at all. How on Earth is Notre Dame a 9.5 point favorite here? I get that the RBs are hurt for USC but that’s not even really the strength of this offense. This offense is an elite passing offense. Mainly due to their two stud WRs on the outside Ja’kobi Lane and Makai Lemon. I just don’t trust Notre Dame to be able to cover those guys and I think USC will be able to do enough on the ground to at least put them into manageable third downs.

Not to mention, this USC defense ain’t too bad! They bullied Michigan up front a week ago and, while I don’t expect that same result here, I think they will be more of a problem than people are giving them credit for. CJ Carr has been unbelievable as of late, but I am going to put a little faith into the USC defense to slow down Notre Dame enough to stay in this game. Honestly even if the defense doesn’t slow down Notre Dame, I think the offense will keep the Trojans in this game against a just OK Notre Dame defense.

The Pick: USC +9.5

Tennessee vs Alabama

• Spread: Alabama -8.5
• O/U: 58.5
• ML: Tennessee +260

When looking at this game without any context, it would be easy to say that this will be a back and forth high scoring affair. However, I don’t think it’s quite that simple. There is a trend in these Top 25 SEC matchups where they tend to go under. I am going to follow that trend in this one and take the under. It’s simple logic, but at this point maybe that’s just what I need.

I might end up looking pretty stupid if this ends up being a shootout like many people expect. I’m willing to take the chance that everyone is wrong and follow the trend instead.

The Pick: Under 58.5